{"id":17831,"date":"2018-04-14T08:36:37","date_gmt":"2018-04-14T08:36:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vestionline.com\/?p=17831"},"modified":"2018-04-14T08:36:37","modified_gmt":"2018-04-14T08:36:37","slug":"rast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/rast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug\/","title":{"rendered":"Rast uvoza ugro\u017eava spoljni dug"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"post-intro-content content\">\n<p>Rizik za srpsku ekonomiju mo\u017ee biti pove\u0107anje deficita teku\u0107eg ra\u010duna (bilansa robe i usluga), upozorila je Svetska banka u svom ekonomskom izve\u0161taju o regionu Zapadnog Balkana.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sharedaddy sd-sharing-enabled\">\n<div class=\"robots-nocontent sd-block sd-social sd-social-official sd-sharing\">\n<div class=\"sd-content\">\n<ul>\n<li class=\"share-facebook\">\n<div class=\"fb-share-button fb_iframe_widget\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/ekonomija\/rast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug\/\" data-layout=\"button_count\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" title=\"fb:share_button Facebook Social Plugin\" src=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/v2.3\/plugins\/share_button.php?app_id=249643311490&amp;channel=https%3A%2F%2Fstaticxx.facebook.com%2Fconnect%2Fxd_arbiter%2Fr%2FFdM1l_dpErI.js%3Fversion%3D42%23cb%3Df22fbe5f13021a%26domain%3Dwww.danas.rs%26origin%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.danas.rs%252Ff3ccf374e2ca234%26relation%3Dparent.parent&amp;container_width=0&amp;href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs%2Fekonomija%2Frast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug%2F&amp;layout=button_count&amp;locale=sr_RS&amp;sdk=joey\" name=\"f372c10e1fe2ce\" width=\"1000px\" height=\"1000px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"share-twitter\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"twitter-share-button twitter-share-button-rendered twitter-tweet-button\" title=\"Twitter Tweet Button\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets\/tweet_button.73a792b0fbc7ab73a8e3b3db9c36a8ac.sr.html#dnt=false&amp;id=twitter-widget-0&amp;lang=sr&amp;original_referer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs%2Fekonomija%2Frast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug%2F&amp;size=m&amp;text=Rast%20uvoza%20ugro%C5%BEava%20spoljni%20dug&amp;time=1523694772934&amp;type=share&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs%2Fekonomija%2Frast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug%2F&amp;via=OnlineDanas\" width=\"300\" height=\"150\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-url=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/ekonomija\/rast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug\/\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/li>\n<li class=\"share-google-plus-1\">\n<div class=\"googleplus1_button\">\n<div id=\"___plusone_0\" class=\"g-plus\" data-action=\"share\" data-annotation=\"bubble\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/ekonomija\/rast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug\/\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"I0_1523694772803\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"G+\" src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/u\/0\/se\/0\/_\/+1\/fastbutton?usegapi=1&amp;annotation=bubble&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs%2Fekonomija%2Frast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug%2F&amp;gsrc=3p&amp;jsh=m%3B%2F_%2Fscs%2Fapps-static%2F_%2Fjs%2Fk%3Doz.gapi.sr.YNva79hUAfs.O%2Fm%3D__features__%2Fam%3DAQE%2Frt%3Dj%2Fd%3D1%2Frs%3DAGLTcCMFKQvl5yrSBK9Q7p7wKgfO23Fn2w#_methods=onPlusOne%2C_ready%2C_close%2C_open%2C_resizeMe%2C_renderstart%2Concircled%2Cdrefresh%2Cerefresh&amp;id=I0_1523694772803&amp;_gfid=I0_1523694772803&amp;parent=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.danas.rs&amp;pfname=&amp;rpctoken=39109165\" name=\"I0_1523694772803\" width=\"100%\" height=\"150\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" data-gapiattached=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"share-print\"><\/li>\n<li class=\"share-custom share-custom-istinomer\"><a class=\"share-custom share-custom-istinomer sd-button\" title=\"Click to share on Istinomer\" href=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/ekonomija\/rast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug\/?share=custom-1514307198&amp;nb=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-shared=\"\">Istinomer<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"share-end\"><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"post-meta-wrapper\"><span class=\"post-meta comments\"><i class=\"fa fa-comment\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><span class=\"comment\">1<\/span><\/span><span class=\"post-meta author vcard\">Pi\u0161e: M. Obradovi\u0107<\/span><span class=\"post-meta date-time\"><time class=\"entry-date published\" datetime=\"2018-04-13T19:00:54+02:00\">13. aprila 2018. 19.00<\/time><time class=\"updated\" datetime=\"2018-04-13T19:00:19+02:00\">\u00a0Izmenjeno:\u00a019.00<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"post-content content\">\n<div class=\"post-featured-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"attachment-post-single size-post-single wp-post-image\" src=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic-678x381.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic-678x381.jpg 678w, https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic-200x112.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic-160x90.jpg 160w, https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic.jpg 925w\" alt=\"\" width=\"678\" height=\"381\" data-attachment-id=\"410538\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/ekonomija\/rast-uvoza-ugrozava-spoljni-dug\/attachment\/1201foto-fonet-dragan-antonic\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic.jpg\" data-orig-size=\"925,520\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"1201foto FoNet Dragan Antonic\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic-300x169.jpg\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/www.danas.rs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/1201foto-FoNet-Dragan-Antonic.jpg\" \/><span class=\"post-featured-image-caption\">Foto: FoNet\/ Dragan Antoni\u0107<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"article-ad\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">Tu je posebno apostrofirana Srbija, \u010diji je deficit teku\u0107eg ra\u010duna skoro udvostru\u010den sa 3,1 odsto BDP-a u 2016. na 5,7 odsto BDP-a u pro\u0161loj godini zbog br\u017eeg rasta uvoza od izvoza. Ovakav trend se nastavlja i u prvim mesecima 2018. godine. Ukupan uvoz robe u prva dva meseca ove godine iznosio je 3,1 milijardu evra (me\u0111ugodi\u0161nji porast od 16,8 odsto), dok je vrednost izvoza dostigla 2,4 milijarde evra (rast od 13,8 odsto). Rezultat je deficit od 749 miliona evra, \u0161to je za \u010dak 27,7 odsto vi\u0161e nego u januaru i februaru pro\u0161le godine.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">\u201eVe\u0107i deficit teku\u0107eg ra\u010duna pospe\u0161i\u0107e rast spoljnog duga, \u0161to bi moglo da poni\u0161ti rezultate nedavnih napora ulo\u017eenih u njegovo smanjenje\u201c, navodi se u izve\u0161taju uz napomenu da je rast deficita po\u010deo da uti\u010de i na devizne rezerve koje pokrivaju 5,3 meseca uvoza dok su u 2016. godini pokrivale 6,2 meseca. Oni isti\u010du i da ukoliko rast uvoza nastavi da pove\u0107ava spoljni deficit pritisci na devizne rezerve i spoljni dug \u0107e se intenzivirati. Ipak, ovaj izve\u0161taj nije obuhvatio podatke iz marta ove godine kada je NBS kupila na deviznom tr\u017ei\u0161tu 405 miliona evra, a devizne rezerve porasle ukupno za 444 miliona evra u odnosu na prethodni mesec i dostigle 10,2 milijarde evra.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">Ipak, uprkos rastu deficita spoljni dug u 2017. godini nije porastao mada je i dalje ostao velik, 25,7 milijardi evra. Prema podacima iz biltena Ministarstva finansija dr\u017eava je u pro\u0161loj godini smanjila javni spoljni dug za 1,8 milijardi evra. Tome je najvi\u0161e doprinela otplata 750 miliona dolara evroobveznica krajem pro\u0161le godine koje su mahom dr\u017eali strani investitori. Istovremeno je pove\u0107an privatni spoljni dug za milijardu evra. To se u najve\u0107oj meri odnosi na zadu\u017eenje srpskih preduze\u0107a u inostranstvu.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">Smanjenje javnog duga, ali i povoljna kretanja izme\u0111u dolara i evra doprineli su da na kraju godine spoljni dug prema BDP-u padne na 70 odsto. Najve\u0107i spoljni dug je bio u prvom kvartalu 2013. godine, kada je iznosio \u010dak 82,3 odsto BDP-a.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">Ivan Nikoli\u0107, urednik Makroekonomskih trendova i analiza, isti\u010de da rast deficita nije problem sve dok strane direktne investicije pokrivaju manjak, a pro\u0161le godine su iznosile rekordnih 6,6 odsto BDP-a dok se za ovu godinu o\u010dekuje i priliv od koncesije Aerodroma \u201eNikola Tesla\u201c.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">\u201eAko o\u010dekujemo dinami\u010dan privredni rast, to zna\u010di da mora da se investira, a to zna\u010di rast uvoza. To je neminovno. Nama je va\u017eno kako to da ubrzamo. Osim toga oko 80 odsto prirasta uvoza se odnosi na uvoz sirovina i sredstava za rad. Dakle, rast uvoza se uglavnom odnosi na privredu. Zbog toga se ne bih slo\u017eio ni sa konstatacijom Svetske banke da rast primanja stanovni\u0161tva automatski dovodi do rasta uvoza i deficita\u201c, napominje Nikoli\u0107 dodaju\u0107i da je va\u017eno da se ne uvozi roba za potro\u0161nju.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">Prema njegovoj oceni, pravi rizik za Srbiju je vest da EU ve\u0107 tre\u0107i mesec zaredom bele\u017ei pad industrijske proizvodnje. \u201eTo je posledica najava trgovinskih barijera i lo\u0161ih o\u010dekivanja, a kada se EU redukuje i mi usporavamo\u201c, ka\u017ee on.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">S druge strane, u ovoj godini, prema re\u010dima ekonomiste Mla\u0111ena Kova\u010devi\u0107a, Srbija treba da otplati preko milijardu evra za kamate, a jo\u0161 oko \u010detiri milijarde evra po osnovu glavnice spoljnog duga.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">\u201eSvetska banka je po ovom pitanju u pravu posebno zato \u0161to je dinar precenjen, \u0161to destimuli\u0161e izvoz, dok uvoznici mogu mnogo da zarade. Dr\u017eava vodi ra\u010duna o javnom dugu, ali za otplatu i privatnog i javnog privreda mora da zaradi novac. U pravu su kada ka\u017eu i da pove\u0107anjem prihoda stanovni\u0161tva raste uvoz. Kada se u obzir uzme valutni kurs koji \u010dini uvoz jeftinim i jeftina kineska roba i siroma\u0161ni gra\u0111ani koji isklju\u010divo na osnovu cene donose odluku o kupovini, mo\u017ee se i dalje o\u010dekivati rast uvoza\u201c, upozorava Kova\u010devi\u0107.<\/p>\n<p class=\"western\" lang=\"en-US\">On ocenjuje da se kod izvoza stvara ve\u0161ta\u010dka slika zato \u0161to 80 odsto izvoza prave strane firme, a \u201epitanje je koliko tih deviza u\u0111e u Srbiju\u201c. S druge strane, te firme nisu zadu\u017eene pa da otpla\u0107uju svoje dugove i time i spoljni dug. (DANAS)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rizik za srpsku ekonomiju mo\u017ee biti pove\u0107anje deficita teku\u0107eg ra\u010duna (bilansa robe i usluga), upozorila je Svetska banka u svom<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17831"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17831"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17831\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17832,"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17831\/revisions\/17832"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17831"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17831"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vestionline.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17831"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}